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Vinod's Blog Random musings from a libertarian, tech geek... |
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The cognitive dissonance around the North Korea predicament is fascinating but also dangerous. One manifestation is the surprisingly high OpEd page volume and comparatively low Administration talking point volume on the subject. And, in my case, my own Blog volume (this being my 3rd post almost in row on the subject). It's a difficult problem with counter intuitive potential solutions and deep strategic games. In discussing Iraq (and, earlier, Afghanistan) a wider latitude of black and white options were/are available, and thus the debates tended to quickly boil down to underlying moral positions and philosophical stances on questions like Just War. There was/are differences of opinion no doubt, but those differences become axiomatic far quicker than similar discussions about North Korea. And once the root philosophical battle lines are laid out, there's surprisingly little vacillation in the ranks from one position to the other. By contrast, the nuke question and DPRK's xenophobia mean that our options are both bounded and magnified. They're bounded because DPRK has the ability to inflict significant cost on Seoul -- a city we certainly have an interest in. But they're also magnfied -- small course corrections have little impact on the Iraqi situation but have significant impact on North Korea. One of my favorite international affairs writers, Fareed Zakaria, has been uncharacteristically focused on North Korea of late. He brings us back to back editorials from his perch atop the Newsweek International Bureau & comes out somewhat negative towards the Bush administration's "ambiguous" treatment of the situation In the Jan 13 on-line issue, Zakaria writes that Morality is not a Strategy for dealing with North Korea. He credit's the administration's moral stance but argues that we aren't done yet:
Zakaria is particularly aggressive about primacy of diplomacy and the fundamental belief that the final game is a matter of simply outlasting the bastards:
Later, in the Jan 20 issue, Zakaria adds more flesh to his diplomatic prescription in an article titled Sweet Peas for North Korea. While not the root cause of the current "crisis" (that would be North Korea's lunacy and its leadership's megalomania), he does fault the administration for providing the proximate cause:
The administration is, thankfully, steering the ship in a direction that Zakaria approves of -- a diplomatic solution based on "carrots":
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