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Vinod's Blog Random musings from a libertarian, tech geek... |
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(via Tim Blair) Maybe it's cuz I'm starting to get undeniably into "adult" category BUT, I really do remember what the economic climate was "back in the day". Back in the day, recessions meant mass belt tightening and lines at foodbanks rather than booming plasma TV and SUV sales. There are no doubt blogosphere readers who recall Carter's misery index and >10% unemployment. Or how about the majority of the 1980s when the bulk of economists - including Greenspan himself - believed in a rock bottom "natural rate of unemployment" (NAIRU) in the neighborhood of 6%? Individual cases of unemployment are truly tragic (I can scarcely imagine how I'd react if a manager told me "you're fired!". My heart would certainly skip more than a few beats.) However, we all recognize that at the macro level, some level of unemployment is unavoidable (thank you Milton Friedman). The real issue is that what's considered "high" and "low" unemployment is eminently subject to framing. And framing is where the press gets the most leeway to export their biases. Tim Blair, for example, dug up CNN's take on Clinton-era unemployment data back in July 1996 when the incumbent president was gearing up his reelection campaign against Republican contender Bob Dole.
Now, we take a look at CNN's take on the publishing of Bush unemployment data in January 2003:
So 5.6% was "already low" and good news for Clinton's prospects while 5.7% is "tough" for Bush and will cause "political pressure"? Who needs the Democratic candidate's completely idiotic "worst economic record since Hoover" (a title I give to Dem Prez Carter) rhetoric when you've got CNN reporting like this? Now, I recognize that these individual reporters are likely comparing current troughs against the immediately prior peak - but isn't that a really stupid mistake for seemingly "broad perspective" reporters to make? A mistake that I'm sure they're in no hurry to fix. ![]() |
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