I've sorta taken it for granted for a while that basically everyone overseas is praying for a Kerry victory over Bush this November.    Regardless of whether we may view a Kerry ascendency as a victory for fiscal conservativism, they all nevertheless view the race almost exclusively as a forum about the Iraq and potentially Afghanistan wars.  

I chalk up this near unanimity in foreign opinion to a combination of  American Exceptionalism & Democratic Universalism, both mixed with classic Power politics.  But, via Instapundit, I've come across 2 interesting minority / international groups who appear to be rooting for Bush instead.   First, Educated Iraqi's -

.."The Democratic party is just a party of slogans: they only call for freedom," says Muath Karra, an eyeglass salesman. "But George W. Bush, he is brave, and he is a man of action. I hope he wins this election, because he is a genius - and brave."

Bush has a fierce cadre of devoted followers, mainly among Shiites and Kurds who suffered under Saddam Hussein. They are the silent minority.

Abbas (not his real name) is one of them. Every morning as he's leaving the house he pauses by the door. "I put my faith in God," he says, according to Muslim tradition. Then he takes a little picture of George W. Bush out of his wallet, and kisses it.

"And then I put the picture of George W. Bush back in my wallet, so it will be like a prayer," says Abbas, a video store owner.

"I made a vow: that whoever saved me from Saddam, I will kiss him every morning," says Abbas, his craggy face cracking into a grin. "So believe me, I kiss George Bush every morning."  [VV  - I can only imagine how much my BDS-suffering friends are cringing at this!]

...In a perfect reversal of US demographics, the Bush lovers tended to be more educated and clustered in cosmopolitan areas. Call them Red Iraqis. "Most of them were intellectuals," says Dulame. "US intellectuals, maybe most of them adopt Democratic values. But in Iraq, that's the reality."

Second, the split between Overseas vs. Domestic Vietnamese -

Prior to the Democratic national convention in Boston, journalists in both mainstream and ethnic press queried Vietnamese in the United States and in Vietnam on their views of the two presidential candidates. The contrast is startling.

The majority in the Mekong Delta region of South Vietnam interviewed by the Associated Press said that they don't pay much attention to current events in the United States because they are poor and struggling to survive. But those who do have time to read, said they support John Kerry because he and Sen. John McCain, both Vietnam veterans, have in the past pushed for trade normalization between the United States and Vietnam. Mr. Duoc, 74, in Can Tho, said that now Vietnamese only want to look forward.

...In a Cali Today poll, 90 percent of Vietnamese Americans said they would vote for Bush, and only 10 percent said they would vote for Kerry.

Now I can come up with a theory or 2 for why this is the case.   One theory is that these social groups were closest to the war and oppression, have thus concluded that War is Not the Worst Thing, and thus become the most Pro-Bush.   If this is the case, then perhaps an interesting hypothesis test would be to see what Bush vs. Kerry numbers look like in E. European nations like Poland or Hungary (if those numbers exist).